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Red41
92318.7
753918.5
78408.1
Blue7
95107.2
92472.3
683815.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32331020304050417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.3
13.513.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 3.5
6838
#17
15.12.3
14.011.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Second
9231
#26
8.70.3
6.77.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
red by 1.4
9510
#39
7.22.3
7.45.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Third
7840
#38
8.10.3
11.211.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
red by 5.8
9247
#50
2.32.3
6.54.2
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed