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Red22
95475.1
878013.2
96475.6
Blue31
91249.8
774211.9
74659.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26300204060801002231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8780
#29
13.20.5
7.87.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End0.4
red by 1.3
7742
#27
11.90.1
7.77.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
9647
#46
5.60.5
5.44.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 4.3
9124
#18
9.80.1
8.68.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
9547
#48
5.10.5
11.010.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
blue by 4.4
7465
#15
9.50.1
10.310.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed