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Red12
878412.8
60389.7
82636.2
Blue13
76838.5
85617.6
816913.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2039060801001213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8784
#22
12.80.9
7.06.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 0.6
8169
#13
13.42.5
12.510.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Second
6038
#37
9.70.9
8.57.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
red by 1.2
7683
#24
8.52.5
9.26.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
8263
#33
6.20.9
4.93.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.4
7.62.5
11.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed