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Red88
290518.3
826410.8
880623.8
Blue24
49728.2
95475.1
683815.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373302060801008824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.84.4
13.417.8
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 8.8
6838
#17
15.10.7
11.711.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Second
18.34.4
12.316.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 10.1
4972
#41
8.20.7
8.37.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
8264
#30
10.84.4
7.612.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 5.7
9547
#48
5.10.7
10.59.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed