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Red98
694129.6
861328.3
90439.7
Blue20
96475.6
92318.7
878412.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions461604060801001209820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.63.9
13.016.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 16.8
8784
#22
12.80.2
6.06.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Second
28.33.9
14.818.7
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 19.6
9231
#26
8.70.2
7.07.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
9043
#25
9.73.9
10.013.9
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
red by 4.1
9647
#46
5.60.2
4.95.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed