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Red28
49728.2
88637.0
826410.8
Blue30
744413.7
92318.7
85848.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303110204050602830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8264
#30
10.80.1
12.011.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 2.9
13.70.4
12.512.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End1.2
Second
4972
#41
8.20.1
7.67.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 0.5
9231
#26
8.70.4
7.27.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
8863
#42
7.00.1
9.59.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
blue by 1.2
8584
#40
8.20.4
7.17.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed