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Red31
74585.6
812711.4
683815.1
Blue62
900110.5
861328.3
76838.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060801003162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6838
#17
15.11.3
11.09.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 13.2
28.32.0
18.720.7
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Second
8127
#23
11.41.3
8.77.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 0.8
9001
#32
10.52.0
8.610.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Third
7458
#44
5.61.3
7.66.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 2.9
7683
#24
8.52.0
6.78.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed