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Red67
95107.2
902412.6
694129.6
Blue30
91249.8
90953.9
755114.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303010204050606730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.7
16.919.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 15.0
7551
#12
14.50.2
13.113.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Second
9024
#31
12.62.7
5.38.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 2.8
9124
#18
9.80.2
7.57.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
9510
#39
7.22.7
5.17.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
red by 3.3
9095
#47
3.90.2
5.95.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed