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Red32
744413.7
850011.3
92324.2
Blue33
82636.2
95475.1
92318.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322010405060703233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.3
12.912.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End1.2
red by 5.0
9231
#26
8.70.1
7.57.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Second
8500
#28
11.30.3
7.87.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 5.2
8263
#33
6.20.1
3.94.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Third
9232
#19
4.20.3
7.57.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 0.9
9547
#48
5.10.1
9.89.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed