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Red37
816913.4
753918.5
900110.5
Blue65
879612.9
774211.9
763222.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939203050603765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
14.114.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 3.9
22.43.2
17.520.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
8169
#13
13.40.2
10.610.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End1.7
red by 0.5
8796
#21
12.93.2
9.412.7
Auto7.1
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Third
9001
#32
10.50.2
10.610.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 1.4
7742
#27
11.93.2
8.912.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed