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Red5
74585.6
92324.2
77585.5
Blue52
872519.0
91249.8
91559.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102030405060552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7458
#44
5.62.3
6.44.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 13.4
8725
#10
19.02.5
15.217.6
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Second
7758
#49
5.52.3
10.38.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 4.3
9124
#18
9.82.5
7.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
9232
#19
4.22.3
7.35.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 4.8
9155
#35
9.02.5
7.29.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed