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Red26
85848.2
753620.5
90953.9
Blue37
643614.1
85617.6
96475.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280204060802637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.1
17.416.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 6.4
6436
#16
14.10.2
14.614.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
8584
#40
8.21.1
7.46.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
red by 0.6
7.60.2
7.88.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
9095
#47
3.91.1
5.84.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
blue by 1.7
9647
#46
5.60.2
3.73.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed