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Red4
850011.3
900110.5
902412.6
Blue39
90439.7
60389.7
744413.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32345152025304045439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9024
#31
12.62.8
9.97.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End1.6
blue by 1.1
13.71.0
12.713.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End1.2
Second
8500
#28
11.32.8
8.96.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 1.6
6038
#37
9.71.0
9.410.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
Third
9001
#32
10.52.8
10.67.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
red by 0.8
9043
#25
9.71.0
8.39.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed