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Red17
855716.4
878412.8
774211.9
Blue27
683815.1
90953.9
92324.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273701020304050601727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#20
16.41.1
9.07.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 1.4
6838
#17
15.10.6
15.114.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Second
8784
#22
12.81.1
8.47.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.2
End0.6
red by 8.6
9232
#19
4.20.6
10.29.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Third
7742
#27
11.91.1
7.86.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End1.2
red by 8.0
9095
#47DQ
3.90.6
6.86.2
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed