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Red30
95475.1
94401.8
861328.3
Blue47
763222.4
91559.0
64316.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30303540453047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.322.8
32.29.4
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 5.9
22.41.6
12.313.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
9547
#48
5.13.8
5.79.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
blue by 3.9
9155
#35
9.01.6
8.19.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
9440
#51DQ
1.85.9
3.69.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
blue by 4.7
6431
#36
6.51.6
7.18.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed