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Red30
826410.8
879612.9
816913.4
Blue21
812711.4
95107.2
85617.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300204060801003021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#13
13.40.0
11.011.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End1.7
red by 2.0
8127
#23
11.41.0
8.97.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Second
8796
#21
12.90.0
9.29.2
Auto7.1
Teleop4.5
End1.3
red by 5.3
7.61.0
9.78.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
8264
#30
10.80.0
9.89.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 3.6
9510
#39
7.20.9
7.28.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed