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Red44
74659.5
753620.5
90439.7
Blue38
601414.0
74585.6
92472.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3329010204050604438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
11.111.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 6.5
6014
#43
14.00.7
10.110.8
Auto9.0
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Second
9043
#25
9.70.5
9.39.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
red by 4.1
7458
#44
5.60.7
8.99.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
7465
#15
9.50.5
8.89.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 7.2
9247
#50
2.30.7
8.08.7
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed