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Red54
60389.7
880623.8
900110.5
Blue46
90953.9
855716.4
872519.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443902060801001201405446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
21.722.5
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 4.8
8725
#10
19.00.3
17.217.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Second
9001
#32
10.50.8
9.210.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 5.9
8557
#20
16.40.3
15.215.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
6038
#37
9.70.8
8.18.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
red by 5.8
9095
#47
3.90.3
3.53.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed