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Red18
94401.8
763610.5
774211.9
Blue31
92318.7
601414.0
76838.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303501020405060701831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7742
#27
11.90.9
12.811.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End1.2
blue by 2.1
6014
#43
14.00.2
13.513.3
Auto9.0
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Second
7636
#11
10.50.9
12.111.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 1.8
9231
#26
8.70.2
8.98.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
9440
#51
1.80.9
2.71.8
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
blue by 6.7
7683
#24
8.50.2
8.78.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed