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Red38
878013.2
78408.1
91249.8
Blue58
753620.5
878412.8
812711.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29480204060801003858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8780
#29
13.20.4
11.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End0.4
blue by 7.3
20.51.1
18.019.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
9124
#18
9.80.4
9.59.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 2.9
8784
#22
12.81.2
12.413.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Third
7840
#38
8.10.4
7.17.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 3.3
8127
#23
11.41.1
10.711.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed