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Red35
77585.5
88637.0
643614.1
Blue59
850011.3
879612.9
290518.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450204060801003559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#16
14.10.4
13.213.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 4.2
18.31.4
16.918.3
Auto8.7
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Second
8863
#42
7.00.4
6.67.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
blue by 5.9
8796
#21
12.91.4
11.512.9
Auto7.1
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Third
7758
#49
5.50.5
6.87.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 5.8
8500
#28
11.31.4
9.911.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed