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Red60
623211.3
872519.0
95107.2
Blue13
91559.0
90439.7
94401.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38260102030506070806013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#10
19.01.5
17.519.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 9.3
9043
#25
9.71.1
10.89.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
6232
#14
11.31.5
9.310.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 2.3
9155
#35
9.01.1
10.19.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
9510
#39
7.21.6
6.48.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
red by 5.5
9440
#51
1.81.2
3.92.7
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed