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Red57
763222.4
82636.2
41913.9
Blue35
74585.6
92318.7
60389.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34220103040506070805735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.2
21.722.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 12.7
6038
#37
9.70.8
8.99.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
Second
8263
#33
6.21.2
5.06.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 2.5
9231
#26
8.70.9
8.08.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
4191
#45
3.91.2
2.73.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
blue by 1.7
7458
#44
5.60.8
4.85.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed