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Red19
763610.5
92324.2
826410.8
Blue90
861328.3
74659.5
880623.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30670204060801001201990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8264
#30
10.81.4
12.210.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 17.5
28.31.8
25.627.4
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Second
7636
#11
10.51.5
13.612.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 13.4
23.81.8
22.524.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Third
9232
#19
4.21.4
5.64.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 5.3
7465
#15
9.51.8
8.19.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed