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Red17
42199.3
72715.6
42515.2
Blue41
116416.1
84088.7
96205.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19340103040506070801741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#17
9.30.4
11.711.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 6.8
16.10.2
12.812.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Second
7271
#37
5.60.4
6.76.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 3.1
8408
#13
8.70.2
5.75.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
4251
#14
5.20.4
0.3-0.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End0.1
blue by 0.1
9620
#30
5.30.4
10.710.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed