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Red46
910522.9
27899.5
754012.1
Blue29
913623.8
71257.1
561310.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4736204060804629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#10
22.90.3
21.321.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 1.0
23.80.3
20.520.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
12.10.3
10.811.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 1.6
5613
#20
10.40.3
6.05.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Third
2789
#16
9.50.3
8.99.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 2.4
7125
#34
7.10.3
7.47.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed