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Red75
852813.2
94576.3
406330.7
Blue37
541119.3
415314.6
57838.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493802060801007537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.8
24.124.9
Auto12.7
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 11.4
19.30.1
16.016.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
8528
#18
13.20.8
10.711.5
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 1.4
4153
#11
14.60.1
13.113.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
9457
#26
6.31.3
8.19.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 1.9
5783
#23
8.10.1
6.76.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed