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Red5
26579.7
57838.1
96205.3
Blue72
84088.7
367626.0
69748.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28380206080572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2657
#24
9.71.4
9.37.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 16.3
26.01.8
22.524.3
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
5783
#23
8.12.4
6.84.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 0.6
8408
#13
8.71.8
5.57.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
9620
#30
5.32.4
10.38.0
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 3.2
6974
#25
8.51.8
4.86.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned