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Red9
419218.5
96556.2
97863.7
Blue63
45710.9
852813.2
116416.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2540010203050607080963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.5
13.011.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 2.4
16.10.6
12.613.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Second
9655
#33
6.21.5
8.26.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 7.1
8528
#18
13.20.6
11.512.1
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
9786
#36
3.71.5
3.52.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
blue by 7.2
457
#21
10.90.6
10.410.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed