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Red66
541119.3
406330.7
71257.1
Blue58
420628.5
676813.2
636921.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53553040607080901006658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.2
24.926.1
Auto12.7
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 2.2
28.50.6
18.919.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
19.31.2
16.017.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6369
#12
21.20.6
18.318.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Third
7125
#34
7.11.2
7.18.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
blue by 6.1
6768
#28
13.20.6
12.012.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed