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Red23
94576.3
27899.5
69748.5
Blue10
83693.1
96205.3
850710.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3118010405060702310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2789
#16
9.50.2
9.99.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 1.3
8507
#22
10.80.5
7.67.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Second
6974
#25
8.50.2
6.76.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 3.2
9620
#30
5.30.8
8.07.1
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Third
9457
#26
6.30.4
9.69.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 3.2
8369
#38
3.10.5
1.91.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed