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Red43
42515.2
57838.1
910522.9
Blue18
91372.8
72715.6
949212.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30270102040504318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#10
22.91.1
22.123.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 9.9
9492
#27
12.90.6
13.012.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
5783
#23
8.11.8
4.46.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
red by 2.5
7271
#37
5.60.6
5.24.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Third
4251
#14
5.21.1
0.11.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End0.1
red by 2.3
9137
#32
2.80.6
6.25.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed