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Red68
852813.2
541119.3
913623.8
Blue21
75346.1
561310.4
473412.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6118040801006821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.9
20.621.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 11.7
4734
#19
12.10.0
9.99.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Second
19.30.9
17.218.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 8.9
5613
#20
10.40.0
6.46.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Third
8528
#18
13.20.9
12.113.0
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 7.1
7534
#29
6.10.0
5.35.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed