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Red31
636921.2
71257.1
58669.6
Blue47
45710.9
42199.3
420628.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414602060801001203147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
21.20.6
18.918.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 7.3
28.50.3
19.519.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
5866
#15
9.60.6
10.610.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 1.3
457
#21
10.90.3
10.910.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Third
7125
#34
7.10.6
8.37.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
blue by 2.2
4219
#17
9.30.3
10.510.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed