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Red23
96205.3
69748.5
71257.1
Blue52
406330.7
97863.7
58669.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204504060802352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6974
#25
8.50.1
6.46.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 22.2
30.70.5
25.926.4
Auto12.7
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
7125
#34
7.10.1
7.77.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
blue by 2.5
5866
#15
9.60.5
10.010.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Third
9620
#30
5.30.2
7.17.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 1.6
9786
#36
3.70.5
2.02.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed