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Red55
910522.9
415314.6
70889.7
Blue26
852813.2
96205.3
949212.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060801005526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#10
22.90.6
23.424.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 9.6
8528
#18
13.20.4
12.412.0
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Second
4153
#11
14.60.6
14.114.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End0.6
red by 1.7
9492
#27
12.90.4
12.912.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
7088
#35
9.70.6
8.28.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
red by 4.4
9620
#30
5.30.7
7.36.6
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed