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Red40
27899.5
58669.6
96556.2
Blue41
97863.7
541119.3
75346.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29270204060801004041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5866
#15
9.60.4
10.510.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 9.7
19.31.1
17.818.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
2789
#16
9.50.4
9.49.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 3.3
7534
#29
6.11.1
4.35.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
9655
#33
6.20.4
5.95.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.6
red by 2.4
9786
#36
3.71.1
2.53.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed