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Red77
57838.1
419218.5
420628.5
Blue21
949212.9
83693.1
541119.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523502060801001207721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.4
24.125.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
red by 9.2
19.30.9
18.918.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
18.51.4
13.515.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 5.6
9492
#27
12.90.9
12.611.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
5783
#23
8.12.1
7.79.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
red by 5.1
8369
#38
3.10.9
2.41.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed