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Red23
72715.6
75346.1
69748.5
Blue40
88167.5
42515.2
908014.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19250103040502340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6974
#25
8.50.3
6.87.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 5.5
14.01.2
12.313.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
7534
#29
6.10.3
5.45.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 1.3
8816
#31
7.51.2
6.67.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Third
7271
#37
5.60.3
5.76.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
red by 0.5
4251
#14
5.21.2
2.94.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed