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Red43
949212.9
473412.1
45710.9
Blue26
94576.3
676813.2
850710.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3537102030405060704326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#27
12.90.8
11.812.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
blue by 0.3
6768
#28
13.20.5
13.513.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Second
4734
#19
12.10.8
10.211.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
red by 1.3
8507
#22
10.80.5
11.911.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Third
457
#21
10.90.8
9.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
red by 4.7
9457
#26
6.30.6
7.77.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed