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Red55
913623.8
754012.1
88167.5
Blue57
636921.2
116416.1
96556.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494202060801005557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.5
23.322.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 2.6
6369
#12
21.21.2
19.020.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Second
12.10.5
11.811.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 4.1
16.11.2
15.016.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Third
8816
#31
7.50.5
8.07.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.2
red by 1.3
9655
#33
6.21.2
4.75.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed