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Red28
75346.1
949212.9
908014.0
Blue14
57838.1
71257.1
94576.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38250102030506070802814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.00.3
13.713.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 5.8
5783
#23
8.10.8
9.08.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Second
9492
#27
12.90.3
12.512.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 5.8
7125
#34
7.10.7
8.27.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Third
7534
#29
6.10.3
6.96.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 0.1
9457
#26
6.30.8
7.16.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed