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Red30
26579.7
97863.7
83693.1
Blue34
910522.9
42199.3
561310.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10540204060803034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2657
#24
9.70.3
9.910.2
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 13.1
9105
#10
22.91.3
24.222.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Second
9786
#36
3.70.3
3.03.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
blue by 6.7
5613
#20
10.41.3
10.28.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Third
8369
#38
3.10.3
1.21.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.3
End0.6
blue by 6.2
4219
#17
9.31.3
9.48.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed