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Red51
72715.6
84088.7
913623.8
Blue36
69748.5
70889.7
676813.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432801020506070805136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
22.823.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 10.6
6768
#28
13.20.2
13.113.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Second
8408
#13
8.70.2
9.19.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 1.0
7088
#35
9.70.2
7.37.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Third
7271
#37
5.60.2
5.75.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 2.9
6974
#25
8.50.2
7.37.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed