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Red74
541119.3
561310.4
910522.9
Blue73
367626.0
913623.8
852813.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57692040801001207473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#10
22.90.3
22.923.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 3.2
26.00.3
25.225.5
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
19.30.3
19.319.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 4.5
23.80.3
23.023.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Third
5613
#20
10.40.3
10.510.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 2.8
8528
#18
13.20.3
12.412.7
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3