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Red37
69748.5
908014.0
636921.2
Blue45
949212.9
754012.1
473412.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503602060801003745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
21.20.1
21.121.0
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
red by 8.3
9492
#27
12.90.1
12.112.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
14.00.1
13.913.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 1.9
4734
#19
12.10.1
11.211.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Third
6974
#25
8.50.1
8.48.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 3.6
12.10.1
11.211.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3