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Red3
859810.8
86105.2
51037.9
Blue32
95068.0
941815.3
914011.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304001020506070332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8598
#13
10.82.8
9.46.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
blue by 4.5
15.320.0
28.68.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Second
5103
#28
7.92.8
9.56.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.3
9140
#36DQ
11.30.5
16.616.1
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
8610
#42DQ
5.22.8
9.36.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 2.8
9506
#14DQ
8.01.3
7.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed