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Red8
91374.2
95245.6
94488.3
Blue34
45977.4
41821.5
86257.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2335010304050607080834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9448
#16
8.31.4
5.64.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 13.2
418
#3
21.50.2
12.913.1
Auto11.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
9524
#34
5.61.8
8.66.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 1.8
4597
#23DQ
7.40.2
9.49.6
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
9137
#24
4.22.3
7.45.0
Auto1.1
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 2.8
8625
#20
7.00.2
8.08.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed