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Red45
384732.1
71383.4
45977.4
Blue14
63577.0
380211.5
61556.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4030010205060704514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.1
20.021.1
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 20.5
3802
#32
11.51.0
8.37.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Second
4597
#23
7.41.1
9.610.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 0.4
6357
#38
7.01.6
10.89.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
7138
#37
3.41.1
5.56.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 3.0
6155
#33
6.41.6
9.47.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed