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Red30
95068.0
882712.6
636914.5
Blue16
50528.0
96644.8
356115.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3428010204050603016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
14.50.8
13.512.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 1.3
3561
#17
15.81.1
10.79.6
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Second
8827
#26
12.60.8
7.87.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 4.6
5052
#29
8.01.1
8.27.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
9506
#14
8.00.8
8.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 3.2
9664
#39
4.81.1
7.16.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed